Saturday, June 16, 2012

Where Did You Go Rafael?




So much was made about the Cardinals blockbuster trade last season which sent Colby Rasmus to the Blue Jays for a complete makeover of the Cardinals pitching staff which was in desperate need of help.  It is not difficult to understand why this trade is received so much publicity and eventual credit for the fortunes of the team.  The Cardinals traded away the jewel of their minor league system in exchange for a group of pitchers including only one that would be under club control beyond the end of that season.  It was a gutsy move for the present on a team which was at the time watching its present chances flushing down the toilet.  It was the kind of trade that was going to make John Mozeliak either the hero or goat of the season, but there was another trade that was equally important to the Cardinals’ chances last season.

Even later in the season, when hope seemed perilously close to being lost, the Cardinals traded young minor league outfielder Alex Castellanos for Rafael Furcal, and not long after that the team caught fire.  To say that Furcal was the reason that the Cardinals won the World Series is a stretch.  There were periods when his light hitting made fans almost wish that they had their opening day shortstop, Ryan Theriot’s bat back in the lineup.  Defensively, though, there was no more important move than acquiring Rafael Furcal.  For a pitching staff which under the tutelage of Dave Duncan had always adopted a pitch to contact strategy, having a shortstop who was better served to play second base as a result of both his range and his ability to make the routine play like Theriot simply would not due.  Furcal gave them the defensive stability which allowed the pitching staff to use their strengths.  Without this defensive stability, there is little chance that the Cardinals would have been the eventual World Champions.

This season, Furcal has been even more important to the success of the St. Louis Cardinals.  After a brutal spring which made everyone question his signing, Furcal started the season off on a tear.  He batted .315 in April and not by coincidence, the Cardinals were 14-8 during the month.  Furcal seemed to always be on base in the beginning of the Cardinals season, and he only got better.  The Cardinal shortstop ended May with a .349 batting average even though he tailed off considerably in the latter half of the month.  So far, in June, Furcal is only hitting .145 which has corresponded with a 6-8 record.

While Furcal’s defense has been as steady as ever, it is his offense that the Cardinals were reliant on in the beginning months of the season, and it was largely due to this offensive output that the Cardinals found themselves in first place for much of the beginning of the season.  In fact, in Cardinal wins this season, Furcal is batting.351 with a .390 on base percentage, but in losses, he has hit only .227 with a .295 OBP.  While it is anecdotal that the Cardinals players would bat better in wins than losses, these extreme splits show just how important the Cardinals lead off batter has been to their success this season.  There is little doubt as to why their offense has been having so much more difficulty scoring runs lately. 

The Cardinals won earlier this season with an all-around team where everyone contributed to their success.  They had a high powered offense as well as solid pitching from both starters and relievers.  Recently, the Cardinals have been struggling so much to see their substantial lead in the central division turn into a four game deficit and a record that seems destined to hover around the .500 mark.  While the Cardinal pitching staff has been able to improve, the offense has continued to struggle.  Unfortunately, there is no quick fix for the offense, but getting Rafael Furcal to find his way on base more consistently may be precisely what the team needs if it is going to find its way back into first place.

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